From Our Economists

Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Fed Speeches May Offer Clues About Future Rate Cuts
Last Week In A Nutshell Mortgage rates inched up as the Fed presented a murky view of rate cuts for the next two meetings, while

Mortgage Rates to Hold Steady After Fed Cuts for First Time in 2025
Takeaway: Rates will remain mostly steady after the Fed executed the already priced-in 25 bps cut and painted a muddy picture in their projection for

Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Homebuyers Wait to See How Mortgage Rates Move When Fed Cuts
Last Week In A Nutshell Rates fell after a spike in unemployment insurance claims overshadowed inflation data that was mostly benign, further propelling fears about

Mortgage Rates To Fall a Bit More Today as Jobless Claims Jump and Inflation Posts Steady Growth
Takeaway: Mortgage rates will ease a little bit more today as a jump in unemployment insurance claims overshadows a CPI inflation report showing an expected

Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: All Eyes on Inflation Data Ahead of Expected Fed Rate Cut
Last Week In A Nutshell Weak labor market data indicates that the economy is at risk of a recession, meaning the Fed needs to start

Mortgage Rates to Fall to the Lowest Level in Almost a Year on Today’s Weak Jobs Report
Today’s weak jobs report all but guarantees that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17 meeting, and that’s

Mortgage Rates to Stay Flat After Mild May Inflation Report
A milder-than-expected May CPI report is unlikely to shift mortgage rates because tariff-induced inflation remains a threat and the Fed will continue to hold off

Mortgage Rates to Reverse Recent Decline as Unemployment Holds Steady
The official May jobs report remained strong on the surface and mortgage rates will reverse a decline from recent days following a weak ADP employment

U.S. Tariffs: Redfin’s Latest Analysis of Housing Market Impacts
President Trump’s newly announced tariffs will impact the housing market in a variety of ways. We’ll be updating this page with new information as the

Fed Unlikely to Cut Rates for Foreseeable Future After Mild April Inflation Report
Mortgage rates will remain unchanged after April inflation data came in as expected. Elevated tariff rates will keep Fed rate cuts on pause for the

Mortgage Rates to Hold Firm as Fed Continues ‘Wait-and-See’ Approach
Mortgage rates will stay largely unchanged after the Fed held rates steady at its May meeting, opting to remain in a noncommittal “wait-and-see” mode until

Mortgage Rates to Tick Up After Strong April Jobs Report
Mortgage rates will move slightly higher today on the back of a strong April employment report that makes the previously expected June Fed rate cut







